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Backpacker Magazine – September 2007

How Climate Change is Affecting Our Alpine Environments

Thanks to melting ice and snow, climate change is effecting the future of our mountains

by: Michael Lanza

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5. Smoggier mountain skies
Rising temperatures could worsen air quality in New Hampshire's White Mountains.
Nitrous oxides and hydrocarbons from car exhaust combine on warm, sunny days to produce ground-level ozone, an oxidant that irritates the mucus membranes in humans and animals, and that damages plants. In addition to blanketing major cities, this smog accumulates in alpine regions like the White Mountains. As a result, ozone readings atop Mt. Washington are generally 2 to 5 times higher than at lower elevations. Because higher temperatures increase ozone production, global warming will continue to degrade the air quality and the views on the Northeast's high peaks.

6. Smaller glaciers
By mid-century, much of the permanent ice in America's national parks will have vanished.
Nearly all of the world's mountain glaciers have receded as average global temperatures have risen 1°F in the last century, according to the IPCC's Climate Change 2007 report. In our backyard, 60 percent of Sierra Nevada glaciers and 40 percent of the perennial ice in North Cascades National Park has melted since the 1880s. Because carbon lingers in the atmosphere for decades after it's produced, warming will continue even if emissions are cut. In the Pacific Northwest, the most glaciated region in the Lower 48, temperatures are predicted to rise another 1°F in the next 20 years, melting all but the high-elevation ice sheets, like those capping Mt. Rainier.

7. Soupier tundra
Melting permafrost could make Alaska hiking a nightmare and triple current atmospheric CO2 levels.
Eighty percent of Alaska's interior, including most of Denali National Park, rests on permafrost, a layer of frozen soil. Scientists predict that rising temperatures will thaw the top 10 feet of half of the Northern Hemisphere's permafrost acreage by 2050, aggravating existing damage to roads and buildings and turning solid tundra in prime hiking destinations into impassable bogs. Simulations run by the National Center for Atmospheric Research predict that 90 percent of the world's permafrost could turn to slush by 2100. The real danger, however, is the resulting release of underground methane, a greenhouse gas that is 21 times more potent at trapping heat than CO2.

8. Less snowpack
Sierra snow levels are thinning, and they're melting away three weeks earlier than they did 50 years ago. Peak runoff for Yosemite's waterfalls is shifting from early summer (when most hikers visit) to spring, when many trails remain inaccessible. The earlier melt will also cause some streams to dry up in July, a month early. Even if we reduce CO2 emissions, forecasters believe California temps will rise 3 to 5.5°F over the next few decades, causing the Sierra snowpack to decline by 30 percent. If we don't, snowpack could shrink by 90 percent, ending most winter recreation and turning snow-fed streams into dry washes.


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READERS COMMENTS

Christopher Shull
Mar 31, 2010

Mr. Lanza, you ask a terrific question. It is true that our climate has shifted through periods of warming and cooling on about a 10,000 year cycle, as I remember from my classes at Texas A&M some years ago. In those cycles temperatures would make very small shifts over thousands of years - kind of like simmering food. Volcanic eruptions and other natural effects caused this ongoing and very subtle change. The issue with climate change to day is the RATE at which human-produced gasses are accelerating the temperature change. Since the beginning of the industrial revolution we have seen what I recall to be just over a 1 degree F increase in the world's average temperature, with projections rising to about 3 degrees F if our emissions run unchecked over the near-term. This rate of warming over the past 100 years would take eons as a part of the 10,000 year ice-age cycle. Hope that sheds some light.

Steve
Apr 23, 2008

Michael Lanza,
Climate change may dramatically change things as you suggest. Your comments have gotten me thinking. My big question is how much of this is part of a grand cycle? Remember Otzi the backpacker found in the Tyrolean Alps? He died in a hollow depression that protected him from the glacier that eventually covered him up. The receding glacier revealed his body in 1991. Researchers say he died in approximately 3300 B.C. This makes me wonder if the glacier developed later - after he died. If so, what did the Alps look like then? Was it warmer? Maybe Otzi lived at the beginning of a cooling cycle and we are in a warming part of the cycle? Obviously, glaciers start sometime. This is especially evident in volcanic ranges. Mountains like St. Helen's form glaciers on top of the summits, but how long had the summit been there (especially St. Helens)? In Otzi's case, his body was well preserved by falling where he did. Now, if he actually fell into a cravasse at that location, then all bets are off on my glacier theory. But...one wonders what he saw in those mountains 5000 years ago. I bet the sunsets were just as beautiful.

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